Shohei Ohtani
Implied probability 3%−4
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$30k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 23:08 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 17:12 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 6% |
| 12 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 03:37 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 03:18 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 16% |
| 11 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 00:32 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 6% |
| 10 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 00:19 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 05:07 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 10:07 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Oct, 05:45 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 17% |
| 8 Oct, 04:37 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 18% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 12% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Shohei Ohtani wins the World Series Most Valuable Player Award during the 2026 season. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the regular season or confuse the MVP award with other honors.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%