Aaron Judge
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −3 points at 23:02 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Aaron Judge Gives Injury Update, Return Timeline for MLB Playoffs Amid Calf Issue Ahead of Wild Card — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 23:02 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 21:59 UTC | 4% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Aaron Judge hits at least 30 home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season. The outcome is No if he fails to reach that total. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the postseason or a different year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%