Tampa Bay vs Cleveland
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$32
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves7 Nov 2026
Why it moved: +42 points at 12:56 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Guardians vs. Rays prediction, odds, time: 2026 ALCS Game 1 picks by proven model — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 04:53 UTC | 49% |
| 9 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 44% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 17% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 24% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 34% |
| 9 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 12% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the American League Championship Series features Tampa Bay and Cleveland in the 2026 baseball season. It resolves to No if that specific matchup does not occur. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Rays sweeping the Yankees as the deciding factor, but only the final ALCS participants matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%