John James and Abdul El-Sayed win
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$22k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican wins the Michigan Governor race and a Democrat wins the Michigan Senate race. The result depends on the official election winners in Michigan. Readers often mistake the linked Obama rally as a factor in the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%