Loyalty
Implied probability 99%+99
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves7 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +82 points at 13:46 UTC, after Quartz: McDonald's bringt Monopoly ab dem 6. Oktober mit physischen Abziehstücken zurück. — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 99% |
| 23 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Sept, 13:14 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if CEO Chris Kempczinski explicitly mentions loyalty during McDonald's Investor Day presentation. The outcome is No if she does not mention it. Readers often mistake general business updates for a specific reference to the loyalty program.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%