Above 101
Why it moved: −11 points at 17:48 UTC, after Quartz: McDonald's is exploring bowls and grilled chicken to win over weight loss drug users — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 24 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Sept, 17:48 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 17:15 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Carbon Arc McDonald's Credit Card Spend for September 2026 exceeds 101. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the reporting date of the data for the actual spending month.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%