Above 2.5%
Why it moved: −5 points at 12:14 UTC, after International homepage: McDonald’s bets on chicken to win back diners as beef prices soar — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 27% |
| 22 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if McDonald's reports global comparable sales growth above 2.5% for the third quarter of 2026. It resolves to No if that specific metric is 2.5% or lower. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about current beef prices for the actual resolution data, but only the official Q3 2026 financial report counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 27%
- No 73%