Above 227 million
Implied probability 65%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 14 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 65% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Southwest Airlines reports more than 227 million seats flown during the entire year of 2026. It resolves to No if the total is 227 million or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count must be complete by a specific date in 2026 rather than covering the full calendar year.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 65%
- No 35%