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ChatGPT

Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$283k
Liquidity$283k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
How the odds moved · ChatGPT
0%50%100%1%28 Sept, 00:18 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
28 Sept, 00:18 UTC1%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI’s ChatGPT is the top-ranked large language model on September 30, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the resolution criteria instead of the specific ranking date.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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