Before Nov 1, 2026
Implied probability 6%+1
24-hour volume$71k
Total volume$436k
Liquidity$436k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic publicly confirms an initial public offering before November 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the news headline for a confirmation or miss the specific deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%