7,500 or above
Implied probability 85%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 85% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the S&P 500 index value exceeds 7500 on December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 85%
- No 15%