Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: +4 points at 13:48 UTC, after France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Trump's crackdown on migrants: New documentary investigates ICE operations — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if US Immigration and Customs Enforcement officially changes its name before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake news about enforcement tactics or detention conditions for a formal name change.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%