Above $20 billion
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves4 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 11:57 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Robinhood Markets Inc. reports that its total trading volume for event contracts exceeds $20 billion during the third quarter of 2026. The outcome depends entirely on the company's official financial report for that specific period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the launch date in the linked story rather than the end of Q3 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%