Denis Villeneuve
Implied probability 80%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves8 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 14 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 80% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Denis Villeneuve appears on the official nominee list for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. It resolves to No if he does not appear on that specific list. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a potential James Bond film as the deciding factor, but only the Golden Globe nominations matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 80%
- No 20%