Above $4.4 trillion
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if India's nominal GDP exceeds $4.4 trillion in 2026. It resolves to No if that threshold is not met during that year. Readers often mistake the linked forex news for the resolution data, but only India's official 2026 GDP figures count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%