Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 22%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the European Council officially declares that all 27 EU member states have agreed to the final terms of the 2028-2034 long-term budget before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake general political agreement or individual national announcements for the required official declaration by the European Council.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%