Relax Row
The market favoured Yes at 59% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved31 Mar 2027
Why it moved: +40 points at 17:27 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: United Misses Estimates, Squeezed by Soaring Jet Fuel Costs — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 59% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%