Converse
The market favoured Yes at 86% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved31 Dec 2026
Why it moved: +13 points at 21:37 UTC, after Bloomberg.com: Nike Warns Sales Slump Will Worsen This Fiscal Year — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Sept, 20:08 UTC | 95% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Nike representative mentions Converse during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. It resolves to No if they do not mention it within that specific event. Readers often mistake any general discussion of China for a mention of the Converse brand.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%