NFL
The market favoured Yes at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved1 Feb 2027
Why it moved: +23 points at 14:55 UTC, after The Hollywood Reporter: The NFL Plays a Long Game as Skydance and Netflix Reshape Media — and the Race for Rights — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 14:10 UTC | 76% |
| 19 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 77% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Netflix representative mentions the NFL during the company's next live earnings call or its official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if this mention does not occur within those specific events.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%