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Julia Stiles

Implied probability 61%+4
24-hour volume$209
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves7 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +7 points at 02:20 UTC, after Deadline: ’10 Things I Hate About You’ Cast Reunites To Honor Heath Ledger With Julia Stiles On ‘Dancing With The Stars’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Julia Stiles
0%50%100%61%20 Oct, 02:00 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now61%
21 Oct, 02:20 UTC64%
20 Oct, 02:00 UTC57%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Julia Stiles qualifies for the Dancing with the Stars Season 35 finale before December 31, 2026 at 10am EST. It resolves to No if she does not qualify within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story as the resolution criteria instead of the official qualification status.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 61%
  • No 39%

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