Above 2%
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 3%
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved9 Feb 2027
Why it moved: −3 points at 10:44 UTC, after Bloomberg.com: Domino’s Sales Growth Misses as New Menu Adds Fail to Woo Diners — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 6% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Domino’s Pizza Inc reports US same-store sales growth above 2.0% for Q3 2026. It resolves to No if that specific metric is 2.0% or lower. Readers often mistake the headline news date for the resolution deadline, but only the official company report for Q3 2026 counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%