Adrian Meronk
Why it moved: +18 points at 13:10 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: West Indies’ Hope jokes India series record role a problem as finale looms — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Adrian Meronk leads after Round 1 of the 2026 DP World India Championship. It resolves to No if he does not lead at that specific point. Readers often mistake the final tournament winner for the required condition, but only the Round 1 leader matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%