Above $6.9000
Implied probability 1%−2
24-hour volume$18k
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$22k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 09:18 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Alaska average diesel price on September 30, 2026, is strictly above $6.9000 according to AAA. It resolves to No if that price is $6.9000 or lower. Readers often mistake the date of the price check or assume any news about gas prices affects the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%