Before Nov 3, 2026
Implied probability 9%−1
24-hour volume$11
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 15:37 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a current member of the Democratic Senate caucus publicly calls for Chuck Schumer to step down, resign, or be replaced as Senate Democratic Leader before November 3, 2026. The outcome is No if no such public statement occurs by that date. Readers often mistake general criticism of Schumer’s leadership for a formal call to replace him.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%