Above 12.0%
Implied probability 59%−3
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves19 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 59% |
| 17 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 59% |
| 16 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if DeepSeek Vercel’s share of AI Gateway requests from top labs exceeds 12.0% on October 18, 2026. It resolves to No if that share is 12.0% or lower. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 59%
- No 41%