La Bola Negra
Implied probability 88%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves4 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 88% |
| 15 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 88% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if "La Bola Negra" appears on the nominee list for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. It resolves to No if the film does not make that specific list. Readers often mistake any award nomination or box office success for a resolution, but only inclusion in the Critics Choice Awards Best Picture nominees matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 88%
- No 12%