ByteDance
Implied probability 1%−2
24-hour volume$604
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 3% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if ByteDance holds the top spot among Chinese AI companies on the Arena AI Text Score leaderboard at the specified time. The outcome is No if it does not hold that top spot. Readers often mistake the deadline for a different date or assume any ranking above second place counts as a win.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%