Above 97.3 million
Implied probability 97%+5
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 91% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Carnival Corporation reports more than 97.3 million available lower berth days for the year 2026. It resolves to No if the reported figure is 97.3 million or less. Readers often mistake the current news headline for the final data source, but only the official corporate report determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%