Maintain current rate
Why it moved: −3 points at 14:23 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Investors Prepare for Data Dump That Will Determine Canada Rate Path — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 40% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 41% |
| 14 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 42% |
| 11 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Reserve Bank of New Zealand maintains its current interest rate during its October Monetary Policy Review meeting. The outcome is No if it changes the rate or takes any other action. Readers often mistake the deadline as the date of the linked story about the Reserve Bank of Australia, but the resolution depends solely on the decision made by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 63%