AI / Artificial Intelligence
Implied probability 1%−3
24-hour volume$67k
Total volume$73k
Liquidity$73k
Resolves9 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 14% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Carney explicitly mentions artificial intelligence during his speech at the United Nations General Assembly. It resolves to No if he does not mention it or speaks elsewhere. Readers often mistake any general discussion of AI for a specific verbal confirmation by Carney at this event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%