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Rank 1 to 2

Implied probability 1%+1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Rank 1 to 2
0%50%100%1%19 Oct, 06:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
20 Oct, 06:36 UTC1%
19 Oct, 06:23 UTC0%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the song "Shroom Clouds" ranks between No. 1 and No. 2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 31, 2026. The outcome is No if it does not meet that ranking criteria. Readers often mistake the release date of the video for the chart date, but only the specific Billboard chart from October 31, 2026, counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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