Ella Langley
Implied probability 5%−4
24-hour volume$50
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves21 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 23:08 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Ella Langley holds the number one, two, and three spots on a single weekly Billboard Hot 100 chart in 2026. It resolves to No if this specific ranking does not occur during that year. Readers often mistake any top-three appearance for a win, but all three songs must rank simultaneously on the same chart.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%