Above 640
Implied probability 55%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$52k
Liquidity$52k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 28 Sept, 05:14 UTC | 55% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Boeing must report more than 640 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 for the outcome to be Yes. Any number of 640 or fewer results in No. Readers often mistake the linked story about a certification delay as the deciding factor, but only the total annual delivery count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%