Above 2.0%
Implied probability 19%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 22 Sept, 11:59 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate for September 2026 exceeds 2.0%. It resolves to No if that specific figure is 2.0% or lower. Readers often mistake the linked story about the 2027 election for the resolution criteria, but only the official inflation data for September 2026 matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%