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Bass Persuades

Implied probability 26%+23
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves28 Sept 2026

Why it moved: +21 points at 16:27 UTC, after Rolling Stone: Here’s Where You Can Still Find Tickets to Miley: Bass Persuades — Live at the Hollywood Bowl Online — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Bass Persuades
0%50%100%26%22 Sept, 15:46 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now26%
23 Sept, 18:54 UTC21%
23 Sept, 16:35 UTC30%
23 Sept, 16:27 UTC22%
22 Sept, 15:46 UTC1%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Bass Persuades holds the top spot on the Billboard 200 chart for the specific week of October 3, 2026. The outcome is No if it fails to reach number one during that exact seven-day period. Readers often mistake the release date or other chart weeks for the resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 26%
  • No 74%

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