Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 15 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a specific federal AI framework becomes law between now and January 1, 2027. This law must combine technical standards or testing with transparency or risk-management provisions. Readers often mistake the G7 plan mentioned in the headline for the required US legislation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%