Above 4.4200
Why it moved: +73 points at 07:12 UTC, after Times of India: New Jersey fines AI data center $1.07m over 62 unpermitted gas generators — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 24 Sept, 09:13 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Sept, 07:12 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Sept, 06:30 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the average regular gas price in New Jersey exceeds $4.4200 on September 28, 2026, according to AAA. The outcome is No if that price is $4.4200 or lower on that date. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any local station report counts instead of requiring the specific AAA data.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 78%
- No 22%