Kamala Harris
Implied probability 58%+2
24-hour volume$603
Total volume$145k
Liquidity$145k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 21:35 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 58% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kamala Harris officially announces a presidential campaign for the 2028 Democratic nomination before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake news of declining support or speculation for an actual announcement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 58%
- No 42%