Zara Larsson
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves21 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Zara Larsson has a number one song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not reach that position within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her mental health award as relevant to the chart performance requirement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%