Kathy Hochul
Implied probability 94%−1
24-hour volume$35k
Total volume$550k
Liquidity$550k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 08:16 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 07:30 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 94% |
| 14 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 95% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 94% |
| 12 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 95% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 96% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 95% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Democrat takes office as New York governor after the 2026 election. The outcome is No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the linked debate headline for the resolution event, but only the official inauguration matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%