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Markets

Zach Lahn

Implied probability 13%
24-hour volume$65k
Total volume$783k
Liquidity$783k
Resolves3 Nov 2027

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as Iowa's governor after the 2026 election. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins or if no inauguration occurs. Readers often mistake the debate headline for the final result, but only the official inauguration matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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