Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$36k
Liquidity$42k
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 10:13 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 08:12 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 01:04 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 00:49 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 23:29 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 15:57 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 14:39 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 13:10 UTC | 20% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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