Spread: Bills (-7.5)
Implied probability 47%−1
24-hour volume$55k
Total volume$79k
Liquidity$202k
Resolves27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 05:56 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 01:39 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 18:49 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 09:55 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Bills outcome occurs if they win by eight points or more in the scheduled game against the Chargers. The Chargers outcome applies if the Bills win by seven points or fewer, or if the game ends in a tie. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement to cover the -7.5 line rather than winning by at least 8 points.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bills 47%
- Chargers 54%
Trade this market on Polymarket →