Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
Implied probability 50%−1
24-hour volume$452k
Total volume$490k
Liquidity$696k
Resolves14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 14 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 50% |
| 13 Oct, 20:06 UTC | 49% |
| 13 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 50% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 51% |
| 11 Oct, 01:30 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Real Madrid wins the match scheduled for October 14, 2026, and to "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties as the deciding factor.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 50%
- No 51%
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