Will Blue and White win 1.25-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$10
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves27 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 7% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Blue and White receives between 1.25% and 2% of the valid national vote in the October 27, 2026 election. The No outcome applies if the party wins less than 1.25% or more than 2% of the vote. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the January 31, 2027 cutoff for definitive results.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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