Kings vs. Spurs
The market favoured Spurs at 86% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$130k
Total volume$131k
Liquidity$109k
Resolved17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 23:30 UTC | 19% |
| 16 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 20:41 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 26% |
What counts
The Kings outcome wins if they defeat the Spurs in their scheduled October 16 game, while the Spurs outcome wins if they win. The final score, including any overtime, determines the result. Readers often mistake a postponed game for a cancellation, but postponement keeps the market open until the game is played.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Kings 0%
- Spurs 100%
View this market on Polymarket →