Will San Diego Padres advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
Why it moved: +22 points at 05:24 UTC, after www.espn.com: Padres pummel Cubs behind Tatis' leadoff blast, King's no-hit bid in Game 1 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 30 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Sept, 06:13 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Sept, 05:45 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 78% |
| 29 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 56% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the San Diego Padres reach the National League Division Series in the 2026 MLB Playoffs. The market resolves to No if the team becomes mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs are cancelled or postponed past October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 78%
- No 22%
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