Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
Implied probability 14%−3
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$57k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 07:33 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 05:05 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 05:42 UTC | 16% |
| 22 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 16% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 15% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 16% |
| 22 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Oura's market capitalization reaches at least $20 billion based on its official closing price on the first day it trades. The No outcome applies if the value stays below that threshold or if the company does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%
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