Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?
The market favoured No at 56% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.2M
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$794k
Resolved17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 17 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 100% |
| 17 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 41% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 42% |
| 16 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 43% |
| 16 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 44% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 45% |
What counts
The Yes outcome requires Chelsea FC to win the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on October 17, 2026. The No outcome applies if Chelsea does not win, including draws, losses, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers most often get wrong that only the official final result counts, and revisions to scores after resolution do not change the outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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