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Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Implied probability 45%+3
24-hour volume$91k
Total volume$92k
Liquidity$919k
Resolves21 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +3 points at 03:48 UTC, after www.espn.com: DeLauter, Ramírez power Guardians' win vs. Rays in Game 1 of ALCS — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
0%50%100%45%12 Oct, 03:48 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now45%
13 Oct, 03:48 UTC45%
12 Oct, 03:48 UTC42%

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What counts

The market resolves to Cleveland Guardians if they win the game and Tampa Bay Rays if they win. The outcome depends on the official final statistics recognized by MLB. Readers often mistake the linked story's result for the resolution, but this market is based on the specific October 13 game, not the ALCS series.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Cleveland Guardians 45%
  • Tampa Bay Rays 56%

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